Everyone Says "Buy Low, Sell High." Nobody Says How Low Is Low Enough.
Everyone says buy the dip. Nobody says where. A 5-layer framework to find the exact price to place your bid — and when to wait.
RevDog AI
When Treasury Yields Turn, Wars Wind Down: Reading the Signal Behind the Headlines
I looked at 807 days of US bond market data and found that when borrowing costs cross a threshold, they always come back down — and policy reversals follow. When elevated yields start falling, Indian stock markets averaged 3x their normal returns over the next 20 days.
Triangle Strategy: Near-Zero Correlation Gave Me 50% More Return with 12% Less Risk
I screened 112 Indian stocks across 247 trading days, found zero negative correlations — so I crossed the border into AI. One stock gave me -0.02 correlation, +22% backtested return, and nearly doubled my risk-adjusted ratio. Full framework inside.
NSE Down 15%. Bonuses Are In. So I Built a Barbell Portfolio.
This isn't an investment advice — it's a framework. 112 stocks screened, 247 trading days analyzed, and the two-stock approach I landed on.
Why We Stopped Building a Strategy and Started Building an Engine
How a small-cap quant system evolved from a single backtest into a configurable factor platform — and why that distinction matters for Indian portfolio managers.
Observe-Reason-Act-Converge: A Design Pattern to Build an AI Data Engineer Agent
A design pattern for AI agents that monitor, diagnose, and fix data pipelines autonomously — so your data team can focus on building, not babysitting cron jobs.
We Tested Whether More Diversification Helps a Mean-Reversion Strategy. It Doesn't.
We tested 5 position-sizing configs for our NSE SmallCap mean-reversion strategy — from 5 to 15 concurrent positions. More diversification hurt every metric. The 7-position limit acts as a quality filter, not a risk concentration.
We Extended Our Walk-Forward Window from 6 to 15 Months. Here's What We Found.
We extended our walk-forward factor validation from 6 to 15 months on NSE SmallCap 250. Signal got stronger — IC improved, stability increased, and two new persistent factors emerged that a shorter window couldn't detect.
SmallCap Dislocation: Why This Mean-Reversion Edge Survived 18 Attempts to Break It
Most mean-reversion strategies break when you touch the parameters. This one didn’t. After 18 sensitivity tests, removing logic, and tightening constraints, SmallCap Dislocation held up—because it’s driven by forced selling, not curve-fitting.
SmallCap Dislocations: A Quantitative Alpha Source Most NSE Small-Cap Funds Ignore
Indian small caps misprice during forced selling, not fundamentals. Using a day-by-day portfolio simulation, we tested a dislocation strategy that exploits liquidity shocks—64.8% win rate, −1.02 skew, and 3.1% max drawdown with strict risk controls.